By Jonathan Chevreau
National Post
FP Investing, Personal Finance
Wednesday, May 7, 2003
Mutual funds still popular -- if you're a planner
or advisor.
Mutual funds are still the financial planner's
investment vehicle of choice, despite increased
competition from alternatives.
A whopping 92% of planners still use mutual
funds and allocate an average of 46% of client
assets to the product, according to a survey
of 653 advisors conducted by Financial Research
Corporation (FRC) of Boston.
Adrian
Mastracci, president of
Vancouver based ‘fee-only’ KCM
Wealth Management, says, "Investors
have also awoken to the enormous duplication
of
securities in most funds.”
"Mutual funds are certainly not shrivelling
up and dying," says FRC consultant Christopher
Brown.
But do mutual funds deserve such continued
market dominance? Stephen Gadsden, says mutual
funds make up so much of U.S. portfolios because
advisors are paid to retain fund assets by
fund manufacturers -- in much the same way
as advisors here in Canada.
In both countries, funds are sold on the assertion
that portfolio diversification gives investors
the best protection from volatile markets.
But that assertion has worn thin, given the
failure of most equity funds to protect investors
from the bear market.
Canadians have staged a de-facto buyer's strike
related directly to unhappiness over the failure
of costly funds to protect them from losses
the last three years.
Mediocre performance is followed inevitably
by poor sales. On Friday, the Investment Funds
Institute of Canada said net redemptions may
pass $1.6-billion in April, the highest outflows
in more than a decade.
True wealth preservation comes not from long-only
equity fund managers but from asset allocation,
which is why the scared money retreated early
to bonds, GICs and income trusts.
Even the braver money still in equities is
getting more cost sensitive, which is why passively
managed exchange traded funds (ETFs) are grabbing
market share. IFIC's research shows $1-billion
flowed into ETFs last year.
The FRC study is "consistent with what
we're seeing," says Stephen Rive, general
manager for Barclays Investors Global Canada.
However, he adds, "for most financial
planners, using ETFs is a problem because they
are not securities licensed."
Old-fashioned stockbrokers who are licensed
to sell ETFs as well as stocks and bonds are
making a comeback.
"Dividend-paying, blue-chip bank stocks
and the like have returned to favour," says
Stephen Kangas. "Clients are telling advisors
they want to know what they own, they want
less fees and they don't want distributions."
Hedge funds are attracting affluent investors
tired of settling for the relative performance
of mutual funds that are only "long" the
stock market. ("Great news, Mr. Client.
We lost 50% of your money but we beat the index,
which was down 51%.")
Hedge funds shoot for absolute positive returns.
Instead of being paid for trying (and too often
failing), hedge funds only pay big fees to
managers when they also make money for clients.
Fund executive Dan Richards says the pendulum
has "swung from insufficient skepticism
in the heyday of the 1990s to today's excess
skepticism. Clients have gone from believing
everything to believing nothing." This
crisis of confidence shows up as a reluctance
to add new money to mutual fund positions.
Richards says investors don't feel confident
the risks they take will be rewarded by the
market. They're saying: "I don't know
who to believe, so I won't believe anybody." It
will take a few years before investors come
back in large numbers, and then only when the
markets bounce back.
Fee-only advisor Adrian
Mastracci of KCM
Wealth Management has noticed increased client interest
in minimizing management expense ratios (MERs)
since 2003 began. That's one reason "ETFs
and index funds are making more inroads into
the traditional arena." He's seeing more
portfolios constructed with ETFs and bond ladders.
Investors have also awoken to the enormous
duplication of securities in most funds, he
says. Someone with four Canadian equity funds
will own various combinations of the big banks
in all the funds, as well as stocks such as
BCE Inc. and Alcan Inc.
FRC notes increased movement to separately
managed accounts, which depart from the "pooled" concept
of funds and allow clients to hold custom-picked
individual securities in their own names, with
fees well below what retail mutual funds charge.
Even so, FRC's study is a bracing reminder
that, to paraphrase Mark Twain, the death of
the mutual fund industry has been greatly exaggerated.
"I don't think anybody's saying mutual
funds are dead," says fund analyst Dan
Hallett, "Rather, the industry's biggest
growth years are behind it. When you become
the dominant investment product of choice,
how much growth is really left?"
IFIC's rising redemptions appear more modest
if measured against percentage of assets. Considering
we're near the end of the worst bear market
since the 1970s, if not the 1930s redemptions
could have been much worse by now.
"Once things stabilize we'll see a return
to net sales," Hallett says, "Investment
funds will continue to be an important part
of Canadians' portfolios."
Gadsden disagrees. He believes Canadians have
awoken to the mutual fund myth and should embargo
future purchases of "high-priced, underperforming
mutual funds and go for EFTs and stocks."
- - -
Good news for those who missed yesterday's
deadline to purchase Ontario Opportunity Bonds.
The deadline has been extended until May 13.
|