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| Adrian Mastracci |
By Adrian Mastracci
Sounding Board
The Vancouver Board of Trade
October 2002 Issue
How often have investors wished they had bought when
prices were low? Especially, during a bear market that
refuses to fade away!
I know that stepping up to the plate during the grips
of a bear market means that the investor’s mentality
is different. This unusual behaviour is well known as
the buy low, sell high concept. However, for many investors
it remains only a concept.
Bear markets don’t last forever. Nevertheless,
it takes loads of confidence to be a different and contrarian
investor. Especially, when the outlook is full of uncertainty
and the majority of investors are sitting on the sidelines.
It may be hard to fathom, but there is a positive twist
to every bear market. Some brave investors buy good
investments at bargain prices. Sometimes, they are on
sale more than once!
Let us assume that an investor can tolerate the risk
and wants to do better than the majority of investors.
That requires doing something that the majority is not
doing.
That something is buying investments when pessimism
is rampant and hardly anybody wants them. Like now,
when uncertainty flows like Niagara Falls and the majority
are not buying.
Far too often, investors kick themselves for not having
bought when prices were low. This is often in total
hindsight, of course.
Adrian Mastracci, “fee-only”
investment counsel at Vancouver based KCM Wealth Management,
says,
“It may be hard to fathom, but there is a positive
twist to every bear market.”
So, what does it take to be different? Well, it is
simple, but certainly far from easy.
Let us examine the 1-2-3s of a buy low, sell high investor:
- Has the foresight to buy during a bear market,
before investor exuberance returns.
- Does the homework and sets out the course of action
before stepping up to the plate.
- Refrains from getting fancy with the investment
portfolio.
- Buys investments that can be held a long time.
- Buys investments that fit the personal criteria,
not the salesperson’s criteria.
- In short, buys on sale when the herd is not.
The desired situation before buying low is the exact
opposite of what we had in early 2000. Just recall the
exuberance when investors bought practically anything
at any price. Now, few are buying at practically any
price.
Yes, things can get worse, so assume that they will.
That is why investor patience needs to be plentiful
when buying low. After all, there will be bumpy patches
along the way.
The traits of a buy low, sell high investor are about
stepping up to the plate and spreading the investment
bets when the majority of investors are not. One way
to tell is when the majority sees lots of gloom in its
forecast.
Buying low, selling high is about being a leader, not
a follower.
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