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| Adrian Mastracci, president of KCM Wealth
Management observes, "One economic signal that I look for
is for companies to stop reporting massive layoffs." |
For Immediate Release
Vancouver, BC (January 10, 2002): 2001 will be
remembered as a year that investors, consumers and business executives
all want to quickly forget. But what do we foresee as the prospects
for 2002?
Adrian Mastracci, president & fee-only investment counsel at
Vancouver based KCM Wealth Management comments, "The majority
of investors, consumers, and executives are clearly expecting some
improvements in 2002 over the dismal economic climate of the past
two years. That is also my expectation, however, some reflection
may be in order."
"Expectations are about interpretations of the long-term perspective.
Hopefully, a perspective of at least five years, perhaps more,"
notes Mastracci, "The widespread pessimism and uncertainty
of 2001 does not make it any easier to forecast expectations for
2002."
"In my view, the business confidence outlook will play a significant
role in the fortunes of the global markets," says Mastracci,
"But how will we know when business confidence turns up in
a sustainable way?"
"One economic signal that I look for is for companies to stop
reporting massive layoffs. That is a sign that a sense of stability
will return to the marketplace. As a minimum, you want to see a
slowdown of layoffs as the early indication that an upturn is probable,"
observes Mastracci.
"At that point, companies can focus in earnest on executing
their business plans to improve revenues and earnings," remarks
Mastracci, "The prospects of returning to positive earnings
and, perhaps, some growth in earnings, will affect the markets in
a very beneficial way."
"Businesses will have brought their costs substantially into
line when layoffs are no longer on the minds of CEO's," indicates
Mastracci, "Consequently, investors, consumers and business
leaders will have more confidence about making long-term commitments.
These commitments are an important part of sustaining investment
expectations. Everybody will breathe a little easier."
"An improved business outlook will assist investors realize
their expectations. However, investors should never lose sight that
asset allocation decisions have the biggest impact on their portfolios
than any other factor," Mastracci explains, "Therefore,
it's important that each investor follows a prudent strategy designed
to reach the personal goals."
"Expect the 2002 leg of the investment marathon to serve up
some rough patches," concludes Mastracci, "Keep a firm
grip on your strategies and a keen watch on the business confidence
signals."
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